The Padres and Brewers resume their NLDS best-of-five series in Milwaukee on Sunday, featuring an intriguing pitching matchup.
San Diego sends former Yankee Michael King to the mound. He’ll make his second appearance this postseason after a seven-inning showing against the Cubs in which he struck out eight batters in Game 1 of the NL Wild Card.
Milwaukee counters with right-handed Logan Henderson, another young member of their deep bullpen.
The Brewers are -143 moneyline favorites, with the over/under set at 7 runs on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Padres vs. Brewers prediction, best bets
King takes on a pivotal role and looks to keep his playoff unbeaten streak alive as he enters Sunday with a 3-0 record, 2.05 ERA and 27 strikeouts in five postseason appearances.
During the regular season, he allowed one run on six hits, walked two, and struck out five over 5.2 innings in his lone appearance against the Brewers.
The 35-year-old has yet to record a win against Milwaukee in his career, posting a 0-2 record, but a serviceable 2.96 ERA, and 32 strikeouts over 24.1 innings.
King could be on the verge of a great redemption story and earn his first victory opposite Milwaukee, but the Brewers’ Henderson may seize the moment, as he did during Milwaukee’s regular-season run.
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Henderson allowed two home runs on five hits and struck out seven over 6.1 innings against the Padres in August. That below-average outing accounted for one of his only three losses during the season.
Overall, he finished 11-3 with a 2.47 ERA and 110 strikeouts, at one point winning six straight starts before that defeat to the Padres.
This playoff clash aligns him for a perfect bounce-back opportunity against San Diego.
Henderson’s signature four-seam fastball accounts for 46.4 percent of his pitching repertoire. Over the season, he registered a 29.6 K percent, ranking him in the top 10 percent league-wide per Baseball Savant.
Look for Milwaukee to lean on their frontline starter while drumming up key offense off King, whose spotty track record against the Brewers remains difficult to trust.
The Play: SGP (+140, DraftKings) – Logan Henderson 6 or more strikeouts thrown (-172) + Brewers moneyline (-143)
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