A promising start to the season is now in the rearview mirror for David Moyes’ Everton Football Club.
The Toffees looked like potential gatecrashers through the first five weeks of the season, but a three-game winless streak has put the Blues perilously close to the relegation zone.
A win over Newcastle on Monday would put some breathing room between Everton and the drop, but that’s far from a given.
The Magpies are +135 favorites on the three-way moneyline, with Everton coming back at +195.
Everton vs. Newcastle odds, prediction
Newcastle’s haphazard start to the 2026-27 season can be forgiven. The Magpies sold Sandro Tonali, Anthony Gordon, Bruno Guimaraes, and others to balance their books, causing manager Eddie Howe to bolt.
A new era under Matthias Jaissle was ushered in, and the Magpies focused on bringing in young, talented players rather than established Premier League performers.
The results have been mixed. Newcastle has scrapped its way to a 3-2-3 (W-D-L) record in the Premier League, but the underlying numbers are not pretty.
According to Understat’s expected points metric, Newcastle deserve to be in last place in the top division.
What’s even more concerning is that it’s not just one part of the process that Jaissle has to fix. Newcastle ranks near the bottom of the Premier League in preventing scoring chances, and they’re in a similar spot when it comes to creating them.
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Everton is not a world-beater, but the Toffees are sound enough defensively to keep Newcastle at bay, and it’s hard to see how the hosts keep anybody out of the back of the net given their current form.
The Toffees just romped over the Magpies on Thursday in Carabao Cup action, and a change of venue shouldn’t deter you from backing it to happen again on Monday.
The Play: Everton moneyline (+195, DraftKings)
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Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.
