Last week was one of the wildest UFC cards we’ve ever seen with an obscene 12 finishes in Serbia.
The promotion returns to Las Vegas this weekend with 12 more bouts, and nine of them are projected to end inside the distance once again.
Decisions are becoming more and more a rarity in the UFC with this weekend’s card looking interesting to target.
The promotion returns to it’s regular start time at 5 p.m. ET, with the prelims before the main card begins at 8 p.m.
UFC Fight Night predictions
Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld
One of these two fighters will jump into title competition with a win on Saturday.
Mateusz Gamrot impressively won by submission last time out against a dangerous Esteban Ribovics, while Quillan Salkilld has three straight finishes in the first round against solid competition.
Salkilld is a short favorite here, and I think that’s a fair line even with Gamrot owning a grappling advantage in theory.
Salkilld is going to look much bigger in the octagon at six feet tall compared to Gamrot’s 5-foot-11-inch height.
The Australian Salkilld also has an advantage with a 70.5” reach and has phenomenal striking and power to go along with it.
We’ve seen Gamrot beat some of the best fighters in the world, including Arman Tsarukyan, but his loss to Dan Hooker shows that while he has a high ceiling, his floor is just as low.
I think Salkilld’s moneyline is plenty enough value to target on Saturday as I firmly believe he could be a title contender.
Recommendation: Salkilld moneyline (-142, DraftKings)
Diego Ferreira vs. Billy Quarantillo
Two of the older guard fighters face off at lightweight as Diego Ferreira (41) faces off against Billy Quarantillo (37).
It’s a fight to look at with skeptical eyes, as we haven’t seen Quarantillo in the octagon since 2024, and when we were seeing him, he was really struggling, having lost three of his past four fights.
Ferreira hasn’t exactly done much better, losing two straight in 2025 and doesn’t have a win since May 2024.
It’s a weird co-main event and kind of random with no real stakes to speak of in terms of the future of these two fighters in the division.
You should be leary betting on Quarantillo to turn back the clock and look like his old self after a long layoff, as we’ve seen too many fighters come back and look like a shell of themselves just to get one last payday while in the promotion.
No bet on the moneyline in this fight, instead expecting some length and targeting over 1.5 rounds, as only one Ferreira fight since 2020 has ended that quickly and just two of Quarantillo’s last 11.
Recommendation: Over 1.5 rounds (-135, theScore Bet)
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UFC Fight Night full card picks
Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld: Salkilld moneyline (-142, DraftKings)
Diego Ferreira vs. Billy Quarantillo: Over 1.5 rounds (-135, theScore Bet)
Darren Elkins vs. Yadier del Valle: del Valle by submission (+320, BetRivers)
Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara: Thainara by submission (+430, FanDuel)
Billy Ray Goff vs. Ty Miller: Miller by decision (+185, BetRivers)
Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat: Asplund by decision (+175, FanDuel)
Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Bruno Lopes: Nurgozhay by decision (+500, Prophet X)
Louie Sutherland vs. Jose Montanha da Silva: Under 1.5 rounds (+120, FanDuel)
Manoel Sousa vs. Richie Miranda: Miranda by submission (16/1, DraftKings)
Miles Johns vs. Jessie Rosas: Fight does not go the distance (+108, BetRivers)
Juliana Miller vs. Ravena Oliveira: Fight goes the distance (+142, FanDuel)
Gigi Canuto vs. Carol Foro: Over 2.5 rounds (+146, DraftKings)
Why Trust New York Post Betting
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