Patriots running back Rhamondre Stevenson faces yet another tough rush defense in Super Bowl 2026.
The Seahawks rank first in defensive rush DVOA, thanks to a front four of tenacious pass-rushers.
Luckily for Stevenson and the Patriots, they’ve been prepped by playing the Texans and Broncos, who rank second and third, respectively, in rush DVOA.
Although Stevenson’s numbers weren’t eye-popping in either game, he still eclipsed the 49.5 rushing yard prop total most sportsbooks have installed for him come Sunday.
The Oklahoma product ran for 70 yards against the Texans in the Divisional Round and followed with another high-usage 71 rushing yards in the AFC Championship game.
Due to rookie TreVeyon Henderson’s recent struggles, Stevenson was on the field for 94% of snaps, tallying a season-high 25 carries against the Broncos.
After some early fumbling issues, he slowly regained RB1 status for the Patriots, scoring a touchdown in three consecutive games to close out the regular season.
While the split is clearly in Stevenson’s favor, the Seahawks’ run defense has been exceptional, practically shutting down each opposing tailback in both playoff wins.
Rhamondre Stevenson Super Bowl 2026 props
| Prop | Odds |
|---|---|
| Anytime TD | +130 |
| Rushing yards | Over 49.5 (-110) / Under 49.5 (-114) |
| Receiving yards | Over 24.5 (-108) / Under 24.5 (-116) |
| Rush + rec yards | Over 77.5 (-114) / Under 77.5 (-111) |
In the Divisional Round, the Seahawks bottled up Christian McCaffrey to just eleven carries for 35 yards rushing. Seattle was able to stop many of the Niners’ two RB sets, which Patriots offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels likes to deploy.
That performance carried over to the NFC Championship game, when Kyren Williams was also stifled by Seattle and limited to only 39 yards on 10 carries.
This can be attributed to familiarity, as in both games, Seattle and Aden Durde faced a division rival for the third time. Still, McCaffrey and Williams are two premier backs who are tough to stop on the ground.
The front four of Leonard Williams, Byron Murphy, Uchenna Nwosu and Jarran Reed might overwhelm rookie tackles Will Campbell and Jared Wilson, who are expected to get tested plenty.
Betting on the NFL?
How well the Patriots’ offensive line holds up against the Seahawks’ top-notch pass rush will be vital to determining the outcome of the Big Game.
Seattle has proven it can withstand most rushing attacks and will likely force Drake Maye to throw more.
Hence why I’m fading Stevenson’s rushing yards despite his solid showings throughout the earlier rounds.
The PLAY: Rhamondre Stevenson Under 49.5 rushing yards (-110, FanDuel Sportsbook)
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Mike Turay is a sports journalist and editor who closely follows the NBA, NFL, college sports and UFC. He has demonstrated expertise in both NBA and NFL player prop bets for nearly three years. Mike is also highly knowledgeable about the sportsbook offer landscape, frequently trying and reviewing the latest apps and sites.
