If the bookies are to be believed, Sunday’s Game 7 between the Rockets and Golden State Warriors in Houston should be a classic.
The Rockets are 2.5-point favorites over the Warriors at bet365 sportsbook, with the moneyline sitting at -140/+120 in favor of Houston.
At -140, the Rockets own an implied win probability of 58.3 percent.
That represents a sizable flip from the series-opening odds, which had Golden State sitting as a -175 favorite even though the Warriors were the worse seed in this 2 vs. 7 matchup.
The Over/Under for Game 7 is currently sitting at 203.5 points.
Warriors vs. Rockets Game 7 odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread |
|---|---|---|
| Warriors | +120 | +2.5 |
| Rockets | -140 | -2.5 |
Houston trailed in the series, 3-1, after four games, but erased that deficit with back-to-back wins by a combined 23 points.
One interesting note about this tight spread is that only one game through the first six has been close. Game 5 finished 109-106 in favor of the Warriors and was the only contest that was decided by less than eight points.
Four of the six games in the best-of-7 were decided by double digits, which tells you there could be some value in betting on some alternate spreads on Sunday night.
Bettors tend to lean into the narrative that a Game 7 must be tight, which often puts value on going the other way and backing it to devolve into a rout.
The winner of this series will take on the sixth-seeded Minnesota Timberwolves in Round 2.
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.
