The French Open continues Friday with eight matches in the Round of 32.
Carlos Alcaraz, Holger Rune, Tommy Paul and Lorenzo Musetti are all in action, but the headliner for folks on this side of the Atlantic is the All-American showdown between Frances Tiafoe and Sebastian Korda.
Let’s jump into our best bets for Friday’s action on the clay at Roland Garros.
2025 French Open Day 6 best bets
Tommy Paul (-130) vs. Karen Khachanov, approx. 6:30 a.m. ET
Tommy Paul needed every bit of five sets to dispatch Marton Fucsovics in Round 2, but he advanced and his draw is pretty kind for the foreseeable future.
Paul, who has never been past the third round at the French Open, dropped the first two sets against Fucsovics, but fought back to earn himself a date with Karen Khachanov.
While going five sets in Round 2 is far from ideal for a player with sights set on a deep run at this tournament, Paul’s endurance and stamina aren’t a concern.
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Khachanov, like Paul, is also comfortable going deep in matches and has an impressive motor, but the American has the higher ceiling in this matchup and should be able to play a more comfortable style of tennis than he was forced to against Fucsovics.
It looks like the betting market is overreacting a little bit to Paul’s previous match, and he’s got value as a slight favorite Friday.
The Play: Tommy Paul (-130, FanDuel)
Mariano Navone (+570) vs. Lorenzo Musetti, approx. 5 a.m. ET
The path is there for Lorenzo Musetti to go deep at the 2025 French Open.
He’s a massive favorite in the Round of 32 against Mariano Navone, and if he could navigate a potential showdown with Holger Rune in Round 4, he’d be a chunky favorite over whoever comes out of the bottom section of his quarter.
That said, Navone is a trickier opponent than these odds imply.
The Argentinian has already taken care of a couple of tricky opponents, Brandon Nakashima and Reilly Opelka, and he’s had a couple of other encouraging performances on the clay during the European swing.
Musetti hasn’t put a foot wrong yet in Paris, but he’s hardly been challenged. These odds look a little inflated, and Navone is worth a sprinkle as a massive underdog.
The Play: Mariano Navone (+570, FanDuel)
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Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.
