It isn’t every day that the No. 1 overall seed in the NCAA Tournament is an underdog, but that’s the situation we’re dealing with in Saturday’s contest between Auburn and Florida.
The Tigers, ranked as the top team in the field by the selection committee, are a 2.5-point underdog against their SEC rivals.
Florida did upset Auburn as an 11-point pooch back in February, so maybe that’s impacting how this game is being priced.
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Auburn vs. Florida betting preview
Florida’s win over Auburn back in February completely changed the trajectory of its season. The Gators won 15 of their next 16 games, including their last 10, with seven of those coming in the SEC and NCAA Tournaments.
Florida’s form can’t be argued with, but the Gators have had some close calls lately. UConn was able to push Florida to the limit in the Round of 32, while Texas Tech had Florida on the ropes in the Elite Eight.
Betting on College Basketball?
Florida has struggled denying opponents good looks down low, which could be an issue against Johni Broome and Auburn.
Broome looks like he’ll be good to go for Saturday and is coming off a 25-point performance in just 29 minutes against Michigan State.
Auburn vs. Florida pick
It seems like the entire betting world is expecting a clash between Duke and Florida in Monday’s championship, but overlook Auburn (and Houston) at your own risk.
The Tigers may have punted on the SEC Tournament, but they quickly recaptured their form once the Big Dance got going. Auburn has barely needed to break a sweat in wins over Creighton, Michigan, and Michigan State.
Sometimes in betting it’s best not to make things too complicated, and getting 2.5 points with the arguably the best team in the country seems like one of those instances.
The Pick: Auburn +2.5
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.
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