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New surveys of the Wolverine State are the latest to show the race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris is too close to call — and Michiganders’ concerns seem to put the former prez at an advantage.
A Mitchell Research and Communication poll of 600 likely voters conducted Sept. 10 finds the race is tied at 48% when the two major-party candidates are isolated from the larger field.
With an expanded field that includes Robert Kennedy, Libertarian Chase Oliver, Green Party pick Jill Stein and other, even more minor candidates, Harris leads 47% to 46%.
Voters are also split on who will win the race: 40% think Harris will prevail, while 38% see Trump triumphing.
And remarkably, this week’s presidential debate didn’t change much.
While 57% of respondents say they watched the whole telecast, nine out of 10 people report their minds weren’t changed.
Five percent say the debate moved them from Harris to Trump, with 3% going in the other direction.
The slight but real movement to Trump is especially notable given that 56% of those Michiganders who watched the debate believe the vice president won, nearly double the 29% who see the former president as the victor.
That said, 41% of respondents say the debate won’t affect their vote at all.
Issues are also on Trump’s side in the Great Lakes State, with 36% of respondents saying the economy is the biggest one; 18% key in on immigration as their principal preoccupation as they prepare to vote.
Catch up on The Post’s debate coverage
Half of respondents trust Trump over Harris to handle the issue most important to them, while 47% take the contrary view.
And a just-released Cygnal poll of 600 likely general-election voters, conducted between Aug. 28 and Sept. 1, shows a similarly too-close-to-call landscape.
Harris leads Trump 47% to 46%, with the race tied among independent voters.
Pollster Chris Lane thinks that despite Democrats’ nominal lead, conservatives should be heartened by the results here.
“Undecided Independents will likely be the deciding group in these tight races. Remember, Joe Biden won Michigan by three points in 2020 so these numbers indicate Democrats are on the ropes and will have a much harder time replicating those results with the Harris-Walz ticket,” Lane said in a release rolling out the topline numbers Friday.
Independents, per the Cygnal data, aren’t thrilled with life in Democrat-controlled Michigan.
And perhaps that explains the problems for Dems in these numbers.
A full 27% say the state is on the wrong track, with just 14% positive about the direction of Gov. Gretchen Whitmer’s fiefdom.
The Cygnal poll also shows that bread-and-butter issues for the Trump campaign matter most to Michiganders: 34% say inflation’s tops, and 14% say illegal immigration is the biggest deal.
And on the migrant crisis, Republicans have a 12-point advantage over Democrats when it comes to who voters trust to deal with it.
