Jameis Winston steps in for the injured Jaxson Dart as a seven-point home underdog against Green Bay in Week 11.
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While the Giants are battered and breaking in an interim coach, Winston’s volatility at least gives them a puncher’s chance against a Packers team that’s scored just 20 points total over its last two games.
Matt LaFleur is under pressure, and Green Bay’s offense hasn’t cleared two touchdowns in back-to-back weeks, but it now faces one of the league’s worst defenses in a building that may be overrun by visiting fans.
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What our Post expert thinks about Giants vs. Packers
Winston’s track record of instant fireworks and Green Bay’s poor ATS form — one cover in seven games and 1-3 on the road — make this matchup far less simple than a typical one-possession spread might suggest.
The Giants surrender the third-most yards to wideouts and the third-most yards on deep passes while playing man coverage at the second-highest rate.
New York’s run defense, allowing over 152 yards per game, has been a weekly liability, giving Jordan Love and a battered Packers offense a runway to stabilize despite offensive-line injuries.
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Why Trust New York Post Betting
Sean Treppedi handicaps the NFL, NHL, MLB and college football for the New York Post. He primarily focuses on picks that reflect market value while tracking trends to mitigate risk.
